Iran, No Choice Left ... But Attack

If provoked (!?) Iran will be attacked from Iraq

No allies left - Squeezed by sanctions - Uprising(s) - Terrorism proxies - Decades of diplomacy that left ample time for Iran to prepare for an attack with "Microwaves From The Sky" at "The West" - No choice left ... attack - Iran Threat Scenarios

the US will attack Iran from Iraq

If provoked (!?) Iran will be attacked from Iraq

The allies of the Islamic Republic of Iran, the Assad government in Syria, Hezbollah in Lebanon and Hamas in Gaza are under pressure as result of the war in the area and their value is rapidly declining as vital part of Iran's strategy to face any possible attack by the USA due to Iran's nuclear program.

Added June 21 2019 - With the attack on a US drone Iran warns US it has power to bring down any plane, passenger or military with similar approach routes - Iran expects an attack - This time they were prepared for certain flight paths. Being the most likely approach routes to new (at least publicly unknown) targets inside Iran, threats identified by intelligence services. The attack on the drone confirmed the intelligence, the need for a different approach route / choose a different flight path.

Iran is aware that, not if but when the regional support of their allies falls away, its options are limited to;


Diplomacy "so far, so good" an open end deal

Iran was always open to "flexibility" when it came to diplomacy and that got Iran to where its today ...... some chess-players might think "so far, so good".

Terrorism proxies ... an option

Because of the gradual increasing squeeze by sanctions, the axis of financial ties between the Islamic Republic of Iran, Syria, Hezbollah and Hamas had to rely more on underground (illegal) financial streams. Those financial streams are also instrumental for Iran to fund several anti US and anti Europe terror organizations operating in Europe, the Middle East and Africa.

Wait for uprisings to devour and divide Iran

Iran has significant potential to be divided by its internal and cross border religious and ethnic groups that seem to be adamant to reclaim their ancient rights. (What Kurds think about Rouhani’s visit and promises in Kurdistan) Kurds, Taliban but also the Khorasan Province branch, which is active across the whole of Afghanistan plus the adjacent parts, including Iran.

Iran could try to delay that process of uprisings, also across its borders. Enabling a "Gorbachev scenario", with "Dear Mr. Rouhani tear down this wall!"

No choice left but ... Attack ! - "Microwaves From The Sky"

Direct action is useless if it doesn't increase the chances for Iran to be a respected regional power and fulfill its destiny in the Islamic world. To attain that, Iran has to successfully attack at least one of the large (economic) stakeholders, "The West".

Europe being tactical and strategic the weakest, the United States off guard by its own (global) strategies and the decades of diplomacy that left ample time for Iran to prepare for an attack with "Microwaves From The Sky" (EMP)

First published by Ultrascan AGI in July 2007

-----

ULTRASCAN RESEARCH SERVICES

Subsidiaries of international research organization with over 3280 experts in 69 countries

Ultrascan-FIU

Ultrascan Financial Intelligence Unit A mixture of intelligence gathering, investigations, reputational risk mitigation and Innovative Technology in line of objectives. Focused on external information and stakeholder engagement, to detect exposure to financial crime risk.

Ultrascan Humint

Ultrascan HUMINT have extensive experience with identifying, locating, mapping, monitoring, analysing and predicting perpetrators of money laundering and the planning, funding, communications and support of terrorism.

Ultrascan KPO - Knowledge Process Outsourcing

Ultrascan KPO working with governments on the path of reform, providing support on areas of governance and implementation. We provide geopolitical and strategic advice to multinationals and institutional investors with investment opportunities.

Ultrascan Research BRAINS

Ultrascan Intelligence and Analysis BRAINS. Wander Around in our Detailed Global Interactive Research - Criminal and financial relationships visualized - Non-linear - networks of knowledge like you've never seen before - AML KYC FIU - Innovative Technology

Ultrascan Researsch Services

ULTRASCAN RESEARCH
Amsterdam, Paris, Abuja